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Daily Commentaries

April 20, 2018 USD at highest level in almost two weeks after bond yields jump
April 19, 2018 Stocks and US Dollar steady. GBP hit by soft retail sales, AUD boosted by commodity prices
April 18, 2018 USD higher ahead of Fed Beige Book. GBP plunges after very soft UK CPI data
April 17, 2018 Lots of Fed speakers today, as well as data on US industrial production. USD steady, but nervous
April 16, 2018 With lots of subjects to keep the President occupied, stocks open higher but USD lower in a week with a dozen Fed speeches scheduled
April 15, 2018 Equity markets end the week higher despite fears over trade, tariffs, China, Russia and Syria. USD is steady, CAD is the best performer and EUR the weakest.
April 13, 2018 It’s Friday the Thirteenth, what could possibly go wrong?
April 12, 2018 USD gets a lift after CPI figures and FOMC Minutes. Yet more soft economic numbers weigh on EUR
April 11, 2018 US stocks and Dollar both lower ahead of CPI data. EUR is strongest on the day so far
April 10, 2018 Chinese President Xi plays down trade war talk. US stocks rally sharply. USD a touch lower, GBP rallies on more rate hike talk
April 09, 2018 Markets awaiting next news on trade and tariffs. USD steady amidst more soft Eurozone data
April 08, 2018 A crazy, wild week in the stock market but currencies relatively stable as investors weight up trade, tariffs and the global economic outlook
April 06, 2018 US trade tariff threats and labor market report could make a very volatile day in stocks and FX
April 05, 2018 US trade figures will come under intense scrutiny today. USD opens towards top of recent range, GBP and EUR down slightly
April 04, 2018 US stocks tumble again as China retaliates on tariffs. With plenty of US economic data, a very volatile session lies ahead
April 03, 2018 US stock markets steady after Monday’s plunge. AUD and NZD rally but GBP and EUR slip after PMI surveys
April 02, 2018 USD opens a little softer ahead of today’s manufacturing PMI data.
April 01, 2018 US stocks suffer first quarterly loss in over two years but USD recovers a little this week. GBP hit by softer economic data, AUD and NZD end off their lows
March 30, 2018 It’s Good Friday, the last day of the week and first quarter. Happy Easter everyone.
March 29, 2018 It is the last trading day of the month and the quarter in many financial centers. It could be a volatile time in FX markets
March 28, 2018 36 hours until many markets close for Easter holidays. Time to check your FX needs as quarter-end approaches.
March 27, 2018 Just a few days to month-end, quarter-end Easter. US index lifts with softer than expected Eurozone data and GBP reversal
March 26, 2018 FOMC Member’s Speeches at the Forefront Today
March 25, 2018 There’s never a dull week with President Trump! Global equities tumble on trade war fears, dragging USD lower. GBP and CAD the best performers on the week, AUD and NZD recover after earlier falls.
March 23, 2018 Stock markets still nervous after a 3% drop Thursday. USD steady awaiting President Trump’s next move
March 22, 2018 USD steady after post-FOMC drop. Soft economic data weighs on EUR and AUD.
March 21, 2018 USD slips from recent highs ahead of FOMC announcements. GBP rallies after good earnings data but AUD and NZD continue to struggle
March 20, 2018 Stocks and USD steady after Monday’s tech plunge. Is all the good news now in the GBP? AUD and NZD both trading heavily.
March 19, 2018 FOMC expected to hike rates 25bp on Wednesday. USD firm as stocks fall but GBP is top performer on hopes for UK-EU Brexit deal
March 18, 2018 After a week of political drama in the United States, the USD index finished net unchanged. CAD was the worst performer after BoC Poloz speech whilst AUD/USD and NZD/USD both ended lower.
March 16, 2018 USD was Thursday’s top performer but has slipped a little this morning against GBP and EUR
March 15, 2018 US steady ahead of surveys on economic activity. EUR and GBP marginally lower in quiet trade.
March 14, 2018 After Tuesday’s drop, USD steadies ahead of retail sales data. EUR slips as ECB members warn of excessive volatility and trade tariffs.
March 13, 2018 US CPI expected at 2.1%, stocks and USD modestly higher. UK set to announce fresh economic forecasts
March 12, 2018 Tuesday’s US CPI figures will be the week’s most important numbers. US Dollar opens steady in a tight range
March 11, 2018 Another busy week! Trump’s tariffs initially hit stocks and USD but exemptions for Canada and Mexico raised hopes others might follow. ECB President Draghi was brilliant, the US jobs report was the best of all worlds and investors’ risk appetite ended the week very strong.
March 09, 2018 US jobs report holds key for stocks and the dollar. EUR is softer post-ECB, AUD and NZD steady.
March 08, 2018 Currencies quiet ahead of ECB Press Conference. USD is best performer but trading ranges are quite narrow
March 07, 2018 USD and stocks lower as Trump’s chief economic advisor quits. EUR/USD hits 2-week high, GBP weighed by EU Brexit talk
March 06, 2018 USD lower after big stock market rally. GBP and EUR rally despite Brexit and Italy concerns
March 05, 2018 Trump’s steel tariffs weigh on stocks. Italy elections depress EUR but good PMI data help lifts GBP
March 04, 2018 Another roller-coaster week! US stocks fall sharply after Fed Chair Powell signals more rate hikes and President Trump announces trade tariffs. USD rallies for 4 days before Friday’s drop. GBP hit by Brexit worries, AUD and NZD ease lower, CAD tumbles.
March 02, 2018 US stocks extend declines after tariff announcements. DJIA down 1400 points from Tuesday’s high. USD fails to benefit from lower stocks. EUR is top performer.
March 01, 2018 USD extends recent gains with EUR and GBP again losing support after PMI data. Second round of Powell testimony due this morning
February 28, 2018 USD holds onto Powell-led gains, opens at a more than 2-week high. GBP falls sharply on EU’s draft Brexit Treaty.
February 27, 2018 Fed Chair Powell monetary policy testimony due at 10am. Equity and currency markets steady with USD holding recent gains
February 26, 2018 Fed Chair Powell’s speech to set tone for markets on Tuesday. For now, it’s stocks up, USD down once more.
February 25, 2018 Another volatile week for equity markets but the USD finished higher. RBA signals no hurry to raise rates, ECB complains again about US currency talk, GBP lower on Brexit uncertainties.
February 23, 2018 US stocks fall sharply, helping US Dollar. GBP and EUR both lower on weaker economic data.
February 22, 2018 US stocks fall sharply, helping US Dollar. GBP and EUR both lower on weaker economic data.
February 21, 2018 Stocks lower, dollar higher ahead of FOMC Minutes. GBP is weakest major currency on UK Brexit concerns.
February 20, 2018 USD extends Monday’s gains as stock index futures fall. EUR lower on German politics, RBA Minutes contain no surprises for AUD.
February 19, 2018 Presidents Day holiday in the US, though futures markets show higher stocks. Currencies very quiet but USD holds on to Friday’s gains.
February 18, 2018 USD index hits a fresh 3-year low as stock markets have biggest one-week rise since December 2011. Higher bond yields offer USD no support as sentiment turns increasingly negative.
February 16, 2018 USD hits fresh 3 year low overnight before modest recovery. Stocks calm as 10-year bonds hit 2.90%.
February 15, 2018 USD index at lowest in almost 2 weeks even with 10-year bond yields at 2.93%. EUR and GBP continue to recover, stock market called 200 points higher.
February 15, 2018 USD index at lowest in almost 2 weeks even with 10-year bond yields at 2.93%. EUR and GBP continue to recover, stock market called 200 points higher.
February 13, 2018 Stock markets nervous, USD lower ahead of Wednesday’s CPI. GBP is top performer after UK CPI data
February 12, 2018 USD index a few-tenths lower as global stock markets rally. NFIB survey and CPI will be closely watched for inflation clues.
February 11, 2018 Two 1,000-point drops for the US stock market push the USD index to 2-week highs. RBA and RBNZ in no rush to raise rates. BoE signaled hikes to come but UK politics weighs on GBP.
February 09, 2018 Equity index futures remain hugely volatile. USD index holds above 90, GBP and EUR both lower
February 08, 2018 Equity markets remain very volatile but USD is at a 2-week high. EUR/USD lower on profit-taking, GBP awaits new Bank of England economic forecasts.
February 07, 2018 Volatility remains elevated in equities but FX markets quite steady. USD a touch higher with domestic politics weighing on both GBP and EUR
February 06, 2018 All eyes on US stock markets after Monday’s plunge. EUR holding up against USD, GBP breaking lower on UK politics. RBA largely silent on AUD.
February 05, 2018 USD trying to hold Friday’s gains despite further stock market wobble. EUR is the preferred safe haven. GBP hit by weak data and political nerves.
February 04, 2018 A wild finish to a crazy week with US 10y bond yields at 2.84% and a big fall in stocks after US earnings hit 2.9%. AUD was the worst performer, GBP’s strong run may have come to an end.
February 02, 2018 USD steadies as 10y bond yield hits 2.80%. Non-farm payrolls could trigger further volatility in stocks, bonds and FX markets.
February 01, 2018 USD steadies after FOMC. Focus now back on incoming economic data. EUR stronger after solid PMI surveys but AUD slips below 80 US cents
January 31, 2018 USD pressured by EUR rally after Eurozone CPI numbers. GBP volatile but lower as EU officials say no Brexit deal for financial services. NZD jumps after S&P ratings affirmation.
January 30, 2018 USD rally only lasted 48 hours, then turned lower with stocks ahead of President Trump’s State of the Union speech
January 29, 2018 USD stronger ahead of a very busy week with payrolls, an FOMC meeting and President Trump’s State of the Union speech
January 28, 2018 A war of words on currencies as ECB complains about US language. AUD outperforms NZD after soft Kiwi CPI. GBP/USD at fresh post-referendum high.
January 26, 2018 President Trump to speak in Davos. US GDP could be the third quarter of 3%; best performance in 13 years
January 25, 2018 US steadies after sharp January drop. President Trump arrives in Switzerland. ECB meeting today is key for EUR.
January 24, 2018 USD crashes to fresh 37-month low on US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin comments in Davos. GBP and EUR rise on strong data.
January 23, 2018 Tsunami warnings for West coast of North America after Alaska earthquake. USD gains after govt re-opens. Davos speeches now awaited.
January 22, 2018 USD gives back Friday’s gains as government shuts down. EUR awaits Thursday’s ECB meeting. GBP still the momentum play.
January 21, 2018 US stock markets reach record high, USD hits fresh 3-year low as government shuts down. AUD back at 80 cents, GBP/USD nears 1.40
January 19, 2018 USD lower on government shutdown fears; gets no support from higher bond yields. GBP and AUD make fresh 2018 highs
January 18, 2018 USD slipping despite higher bond yields. GBP and EUR both well bid in Europe. AUD firms after jobs report
January 17, 2018 USD spikes lower overnight but then reverses losses. GBP and EUR both lower after briefly hitting fresh 2018 highs
January 16, 2018 US Dollar steadies at lower levels as EUR and GBP slip from recent highs
January 14, 2018 A wild week in FX sees the USD slump to 3-year lows. ECB signals a shift in language around monetary policy, sending EUR soaring. GBP makes post-referendum high but AUD remarkable steady amidst global volatility.
January 12, 2018 US Dollar falls to test 2017 low ahead of CPI data. EUR and GBP both jump further after Thursday’s ECB bombshell.
January 12, 2018 US Dollar falls to test 2017 low ahead of CPI data. EUR and GBP both jump further after Thursday’s ECB bombshell.
January 11, 2018 US Dollar rallies after China calls bond buying story ‘fake news’. AUD rises after strong retail sales but GBP hits fresh 2018 low.
January 10, 2018 US Dollar tumbles on reports China may stop buying US bonds. EUR/USD regains 1.20 as AUD and NZD also rally.
January 09, 2018 US Dollar index at a 10-day high. EUR lower on German politics but NZD extends recent gains
January 08, 2018 US Dollar extends recent gains as EUR slips on German political worries. NZD is top performer overnight
January 07, 2018 Canadian Dollar surges after stunning labour market data. AUD and NZD rise against US Dollar as non-farm payrolls disappoint. Strong EU economy is offset by German political worries.
January 05, 2018 US Dollar off its lows ahead of non-farm payrolls. EUR and GBP both below recent highs
January 04, 2018 US Dollar can’t sustain overnight gains. Solid China data push AUD and NZD higher. GBP and EUR recover after PMI’s.
January 03, 2018 US Dollar ekes out modest gains after 2 weeks of steady decline. ISM manufacturing and FOMC Minutes awaited.
January 02, 2018 US Dollar weakens further on first day of 2018 as EUR/USD hits 3-year high of 1.2070. AUD and NZD extend recent gains
December 31, 2017 US Dollar falls for a second consecutive week and is down 9% in 2017. AUD and NZD hit 2-month highs, but EUR and CAD are the best performers of this shorter holiday week.
December 29, 2017 US Dollar at a 14-week low and ends 2017 down 9%; its first annual loss since 2012
December 28, 2017 US Dollar falls to a 3-month low as AUD and NZD extend their recent gains. EUR/USD holding above 1.19 on bullish ECB Bulletin
December 27, 2017 US Dollar Index falls to 4-week low. AUD and NZD extend recent gains to 2-month highs; GBP and EUR both mixed.
December 26, 2017 Very quiet post-Christmas trade sees EUR weaken and USD gain. AUD and NZD largely sidelined
December 24, 2017 CAD beats AUD into top spot, USD has a poor week, GBP edges lower and EUR digests Catalonian election results.
December 22, 2017 Bitcoin plunges by $3000. US steady, EUR mixed after Catalonian elections, AUD nudges higher yet again
December 21, 2017 USD steady at lower levels. EUR awaits elections in Catalonia, NZD jumps on stronger GDP
December 20, 2017 USD still on the defensive despite higher stocks and bond yields. Australia’s official statisticians have some festive fun.
December 19, 2017 USD gives back most of Monday’s late rally. EUR higher after ifo Survey, AUD and NZD both doing well
December 18, 2017 USD slips back even as stocks hit all-time high. AUD and NZD well-bid, GBP and EUR reverse Friday’s late plunge.
December 17, 2017 NZD just edges past AUD into top spot; USD recovers as stock markets surge; GBP finished at the lows on renewed Brexit concerns.
December 15, 2017 USD still up on the week but hit by tax reform nerves. AUD and NZD extend gains as GBP slips.
December 14, 2017 USD steadies after sharp post-Fed drop as US stocks hit another record high.
December 13, 2017 USD slips after Alabama Senate election, NZD holds on to gains, AUD boosted by M&A activity
December 12, 2017 USD holding gains as stock market hits fresh highs; NZD extends Monday’s very strong run, GBP and EUR quiet ahead of BoE and ECB meetings
December 11, 2017 USD eases back after 5 straight gains; NZD soars on announcement of new RBNZ Governor
December 10, 2017 USD rises for five straight days. EUR gets no support from economic data. AUD and NZD both edge lower. GBP rallies then tumbles on Irish deal.
December 08, 2017 USD rises for 5th consecutive day ahead of non-farm payrolls.
December 07, 2017 USD at a one week high as EUR ignores more positive news; GBP quieter but lower again
December 06, 2017 USD nervously eyeing stock markets, AUD weaker after Q3 GDP, GBP still volatile on Brexit worries
December 05, 2017 USD tracking stock markets, AUD higher after RBA Statement, GBP still volatile
December 04, 2017 USD higher with stock markets, GBP reverses higher on talk of Brexit deal
December 03, 2017 What a week! Ups, downs and everything in between...
December 01, 2017 USD steady ahead of ISM manufacturing report
November 30, 2017 USD approaching end of a fairly steady month
November 29, 2017 USD steadies with stocks at all-time highs, GBP extends gains
November 28, 2017 USD regains Monday’s losses, Fed Powell’s Senate appearance awaited
November 27, 2017 USD again on the back foot; AUD and NZD recover
November 26, 2017 USD hits a 2-month low, EUR soars on strong data, AUD and NZD mixed
November 24, 2017 EUR rises on strong German data; USD lower
November 23, 2017 USD tumbles through key support on dovish Fed Minutes
November 22, 2017 USD softer but still above key support
November 21, 2017 USD flat, AUD and NZD higher after recent 2017 lows
November 20, 2017 EUR/USD choppy after German govt talks collapse
November 19, 2017 AUD has a poor week, NZD even worse
November 17, 2017 USD struggling despite stock market rally
November 16, 2017 USD tied to stock market and tax reform prospects
November 15, 2017 USD falls to 3-week low as stocks extend decline
November 14, 2017 USD edges lower with equity futures again in the red
November 13, 2017 USD steady but vulnerable
November 12, 2017 USD ends weak, AUD steady, GBP choppy
November 10, 2017 USD hit on tax reform fears
November 09, 2017 USD falls below technical support
November 08, 2017 Trump enjoys the sights in Beijing
November 07, 2017 Trump in South Korea; USD higher
November 06, 2017 Trump trip and tax reform
November 04, 2017 Wild ride for GBP crosses; RBA due this week
November 03, 2017 Tax reform and the USD
November 02, 2017 New Fed Chair announced
November 01, 2017 ISM manufacturing key for Fed and USD
October 31, 2017 Eurozone economic treats
October 30, 2017 FOMC Meeting and payrolls loom

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