Home Daily Commentaries USD levels holding ahead of fed announcement

USD levels holding ahead of fed announcement

Daily Currency Update

After seeing some gains late yesterday, the USD is back to levels like yesterday’s early sessions ahead of the FOMC interest Rate announcement.  The Fed is widely expected to raise rates by 75 basis points again, but it is the press conference at 2:30 EST that may set the tone for market outlooks.  Investors have been looking for a signal from the central bank that the pace of hikes may be slow. Any language that is less hawkish than previous from Chair Jerome Powell may act as that indicator.  The only other piece of data today in the US is at 10:30 AM EST with the inventory counts of oil in the system from Cushing, Oklahoma.

Key Movers

Small rallies in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD during the European session saw small gains for both the euro and pound. The gains were short lived though. All eyes are now on the Federal Reserve Bank announcement this afternoon to see what the future of US rate hikes will look like.

In Asia-Pacific, the CNY saw reasons for gains as rumors began to circulate that China may be on the verge of easing its “Covid Zero” policy. This news caused Chinese markets to rally with Hong Kong’s Hang-Seng Index closing up 5.25%.  The New Zealand dollar saw small gains against most majors today after stronger than expected jobs data.  Employment was up 1.3% compared to the previous quarter.

The Canadian dollar regained some the late day losses it experienced yesterday overnight as oil got back over $88 a barrel this morning and markets prepare for the interest rate announcement from the US FOMC this afternoon. The announcement is at 1 PM EST with press conference scheduled at 1:30PM eastern.

Expected Ranges

  • EUR/USD: 0.9857 - 0.9938 ▼
  • GBP/USD: 1.1445 - 1.1553 ▼
  • AUD/USD: 0.6383 - 0.6442 ▲
  • USD/CAD: 1.3563 - 1.3660 ▲