Home Daily Commentaries The Greenback touches new highs from May 2017, but it erases some gains after the weakest manufacturing numbers in 10 years.

The Greenback touches new highs from May 2017, but it erases some gains after the weakest manufacturing numbers in 10 years.

Daily Currency Update

USD - United States DollarU.S. manufacturing numbers released by the Institute for Supply Management showed the sector contracted to the lowest level in more than ten years in September. As a consequence, the Greenback is erasing most of its gains at the time of this writing. The U.S. dollar index had increased by around 0.3 percent, but it is now up only 0.1 percent at 10:30 am EST. President Donald Trump's personal lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, his Secretary of State, Michael Pompeo, and Attorney General William Barr have all been drawn into the widening net associated with the impeachment inquiry. Giuliani was subpoenaed for records of his dealing with the Ukraine, while U.S. Attorney John Durham is examining the roles of Pompeo and Barr. Meanwhile, Trump is pushing to unmask the whistle-blower behind the allegations.

Key Movers

The USD/CAD pair trades to the upside at 1.3281, a 0.31 percent increase, amid a strong U.S. dollar. Additionally, more importantly, GDP unexpectedly stalled in July, which could raise concern that Canada isn't unaffected by the broader global slowdown. According to Statistics Canada, GDP was unchanged in July from a 0.2 percent gain in June, which was below expectations. The Loonie was sold off quickly after this news was released at 8:30 am EST earlier today. Furthermore, a drop in oil and gas extraction was the main contributor to the slowdown in GDP, which fell 3 percent in July. This is the most significant monthly decline since 2016.The Aussie dollar drops to a one-month low after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates to a record 0.75 percent and signaled readiness to ease further if necessary. The AUD/USD pair trades at 0.6680 at the time of this writing. The EUR/USD pair was falling this morning, and it touched an intraday low of 1.0884 after Euro-area inflation came in at 0.9 percent for September, which was slower than analyst expectations and well short of the just under 2 percent rate the ECB aims to achieve for the entire euro area. However, core inflation, excluding food and fuel prices, rose to 1 percent, which is higher than the headline rate for the first time since 2016. There was also disappointing news in the region's manufacturing PMI data, which came in at 45.7 for the month — the lowest reading since the depths of the sovereign crisis.

Expected Ranges

  • USD/CAD: 1.3252 - 1.3299 ▲
  • EUR/USD: 1.0855 - 1.0925 ▲
  • GBP/USD: 1.2170 - 1.2299 ▼
  • AUD/USD: 0.6650 - 0.6700 ▼
  • NZD/USD: 0.6198 - 0.6255 ▼