The Greenback rises as we await the U.S. trade headlines.
Tuesday 12 November, 2019
Daily Currency UpdateUSD - United States DollarThere is a lack of data releases in the U.S. and Canada, so U.S. trade headlines will remain the central focus. Market participants will also turn to a flurry of Fed speakers ahead of Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday.The U.S. dollar index is gaining 0.13 percent and the EUR/USD pair is falling 0.11 percent (both are inversely correlated). The main driver is U.S. President Donald Trump, who is scheduled to discuss the country's trade policy at the Economic Club of New York later today at noon EST. Market participants are likely to hang on to every word. A positive speech on U.S.-China trade would likely satisfy market participants, even without specific details of the "Phase 1" agreement under negotiation.For now, the global equity market, which is bouncing in Europe, Asia and North America, could be positive for the U.S. dollar.
Key MoversIn New Zealand, inflation expectations continue to move away from the target, which removes any flexibility of the RBNZ to wait and see the impact of previous moves. For now, 16 economists in a Bloomberg survey expect the bank to cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 0.75 percent tomorrow, 5 see no change.According to Bloomberg, the Trump administration may delay a decision on whether to put tariffs on European automobiles after an intense lobbying campaign by German carmakers highlighted plans to shift global production to American suppliers. President Trump gave himself a deadline of mid-November. The European Union has threatened to retaliate with tariffs on $39 billion worth of US goods. Trump is expected to extend this week’s deadline again.
- USD/CAD: 1.3219 - 1.3265 ▲
- EUR/USD: 1.1009 - 1.1072 ▲
- GBP/USD: 1.2800 - 1.2867 ▼
- AUD/USD: 0.6833 - 0.6871 ▼
- NZD/USD: 0.6311 - 0.6348 ▼