Home Daily Commentaries EUR/USD pushes higher on US recession fears

EUR/USD pushes higher on US recession fears

Daily Currency Update

EUR/USD has touched its highest level since November 5th this morning with the pair briefly reaching 1.09 before receding. Fears over Donald Trump's tariff plans are causing havoc in equity markets around the world with continuing losses seen yesterday following on from last weeks huge sell off. The constant chopping and changing as to whether they will be enacted and to what extent has caused a huge fall in the S&P500 in the US which has dropped a huge 7.5% in just nine days. With Donald Trump not looking like he will back down from his plans fears are growing that the US could be heading for recession later this year, although at present the chances remain slim. If these chances rise then the US Federal Reserve may be forced to cut interest rates faster than expected and it is this that is forcing the dollar lower. GBP/USD is up to around 1.2925.

Key Movers

It is another quiet day re: economic data with only the monthly US JOLTS Job Openings data for January due at lunchtime. It is unlikely this will move the market given how far back the data is from so it will be continuing news from the Trump administration re: tariffs that will be the main market mover.

Expected Ranges

  • GBP/USD: 1.2860 - 1.3000 ▲
  • GBP/EUR: 1.1830 - 1.1935 ▼
  • GBP/AUD: 2.0460 - 2.0600 ▲
  • EUR/USD: 1.0840 - 1.1000 ▲

Written by

Jake Trask

OFXpert

As a Senior Corporate Client Manager, Jake and his team manage a diverse portfolio of 250 businesses to meet their varied foreign exchange needs. He enjoys untangling the complexities of foreign exchange dynamics, constantly striving to provide clients with the most informed insights and strategies to navigate these fluctuations successfully.