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NZD stronger on tariff reliefs

Daily Currency Update

It's Trump's first day and so far, the markets have seen some relief with tariffs held off so far. Trump's team have mentioned that they will perform further studies into policies and trade relationships with China, Canada, and Mexico. Consequently, the NZD has risen 1.1% from yesterday's close, to around US$0.5671 versus the USD. The NZD has also slightly risen versus the CHF up 0.45% and a solid gain of 1.1 % versus the JPY overnight. There were some minor gains versus the AUD, CAD, GBP and EUR as well.

Trump has also stated that he would boost domestic oil production and rolling back some previous policies, such as pulling out of the Paris Climate Agreement while promoting fossil fuels and mineral mining. Oil futures have slid on these remarks.

Despite tariffs being held off for now, China’s President, Xi Jinping, has called for China to be more proactive this year to cement their growth momentum as tariffs may be a reality. President Xi’s particular focus was for high level scientific and as well as technological reliance.

Key Movers

The USD slid broadly overnight on tariffs being withheld and trade relationships with Canada, China, and Mexico being studied more closely. So far, this has come as a positive, with major currencies citing gains versus the USD. The AUD is up 1.1%, CAD is up 0.95%, CHF is up 0.7%, EUR is up 1.0%, GBP is up 0.9%, NZD is up 1.1% and JPY is up 0.35%.

News today includes:

NZ: Business Service Index
UK: Claimant Count Change, Average Earnings, Unemployment Rate
EU: German ZEW Economic Sentiment, EU Economic Sentiment, ECOFIN meetings
CA: CPI

Any further insights into Trump’s policy would be high impact news, as well as the Bank of Japan rate decision on Friday.

Expected Ranges

  • NZD/USD: 0.5550 - 0.5750 ▲
  • NZD/EUR: 0.5400 - 0.5500 ▲
  • GBP/NZD: 2.16900 - 2.1900 ▼
  • NZD/AUD: 0.89800 - 0.9080 ▲
  • NZD/CAD: 0.8030 - 0.8150 ▲