Home Daily Commentaries Today’s Focus: US Inflation Data

Today’s Focus: US Inflation Data

Daily Currency Update

Should today's US inflation data fall below expectations, the pound could experience an uptick against the US dollar. Analysts foresee a marginal deceleration in both the annual and monthly inflation rates in the US, a trend usually detrimental to the dollar. Consequently, investors might contemplate the likelihood of at least two rate cuts by the Fed within this year.

Furthermore, the US dollar weakened to a one-month low against the Euro this morning, reflecting market anticipation of the impending US inflation report and its potential influence on Federal Reserve policy direction.

Key Movers

In Europe, if the descent of inflation halts, the ECB faces a challenging dilemma concerning interest rates. While it has confirmed the impending rate cut scheduled for next month, it also implies that no reduction will be approved until the headline inflation rate hits its 2% target. This week’s release of inflation figures holds heightened importance compared to previous readings.

Expected Ranges

  • GBP/USD: 1.2555 - 1.2645 ▲
  • GBP/EUR: 1.1585 - 1.1665 ▼
  • GBP/AUD: 1.8905 - 1.9015 ▼
  • EUR/USD: 1.0805 - 1.0875 ▲

Written by

See Wah Li

OFXpert

See Wah is passionate about supporting positive transformations when it comes to managing foreign exchange. As a Senior Currency Consultant at OFX, his goal is to help businesses make informed decisions, alleviate risks, and enhance their currency strategies for success. With over 6 years of experience in the foreign exchange market, See Wah’s strength lies in developing effective solutions to help navigate the complexities of currency fluctuations and mitigate their impacts on business profitability.