Home Daily Commentaries USD gains as Trump’s tariff hikes fuel trade war concerns

USD gains as Trump’s tariff hikes fuel trade war concerns

Daily Currency Update

The US dollar has started the day on the up after President Donald Trump announced tariff increases on steel and aluminium imports, sparking renewed concerns over global trade tensions.

A White House official confirmed that the 25% tariffs will take effect on March 4, with Trump also signalling plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on other countries in the coming days.

The FX market reacted swiftly, with investors moving toward safe-haven assets, supporting the USD against major peers. The tariff escalation adds to inflationary pressures, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts and further influencing FX market dynamics.

Key Movers

European Central Bank President, Christine Lagarde, assured lawmakers that inflation is on track to return to the 2% target this year, with risks appearing balanced. However, ongoing trade frictions, particularly concerns over potential US tariffs, have cast uncertainty over the eurozone’s economic outlook.

German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, warned that the European Union is prepared to retaliate if the U.S. moves forward with new trade levies, raising the risk of escalating tensions that could weigh on the euro. Traders remain cautious as uncertainty over tariffs could drive volatility in EUR/USD.

Expected Ranges

  • GBP/USD: 1.2285 - 1.2375 ▼
  • GBP/EUR: 1.1945 - 1.2035 ▲
  • GBP/AUD: 1.9605 - 1.9695 ▼
  • EUR/USD: 1.0245 - 1.0325 ▼

Written by

See Wah Li

OFXpert

See Wah is passionate about supporting positive transformations when it comes to managing foreign exchange. As a Senior Currency Consultant at OFX, his goal is to help businesses make informed decisions, alleviate risks, and enhance their currency strategies for success. With over 6 years of experience in the foreign exchange market, See Wah’s strength lies in developing effective solutions to help navigate the complexities of currency fluctuations and mitigate their impacts on business profitability.