Traders anticipating 50 basis point cut from BoE in 2024
Daily Currency Update
This morning, traders will keenly observe comments from Catherine Mann, a member of the BoE's monetary policy committee, regarding the timeline for when the UK central bank might begin lowering borrowing costs.The markets anticipate approximately 50 basis points (bps) in interest rate cuts by the BoE in 2024, with the first reduction expected in August.
Key Movers
The US dollar is on track for its largest weekly decline against the euro in over two months. This drop was driven by signs of cooling inflation and a softening US economy, which increased the likelihood of upcoming rate cuts.April's US inflation numbers matched expectations but were lower than the previous month's figures. This bolstered confidence that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates in September and again in December, leading to rallies in stocks and bonds while putting pressure on the dollar.
Expected Ranges
- GBP/USD: 1.2625 - 1.2695 ▲
- GBP/EUR: 1.1635 - 1.1695 ▲
- GBP/AUD: 1.8945 - 1.9025 ▼
- EUR/USD: 1.0815 - 1.0885 ▲