Home Daily Commentaries Sterling falls on expectations of BoE cut

Sterling falls on expectations of BoE cut

Daily Currency Update

The pound slipped against the euro on yesterday as firmer eurozone inflation strengthened expectations that the ECB has reached the end of its easing cycle, while markets increasingly anticipate a Bank of England rate cut in December.

The shift in policy outlook between the two central banks widened rate-differential pressures, supporting the euro and weighing on sterling. Even a modest uptick in eurozone inflation to 2.2% was enough to reinforce the view that further ECB cuts are unlikely, giving the euro additional momentum against the pound.

Key Movers

The US dollar held steady this morning, but FX markets are already positioning for expected US rate cuts in 2026, a shift that is likely to put renewed downward pressure on the greenback.

With investors gradually rotating out of the US dollar in anticipation of a softer policy path, major currency pairs saw modest adjustments, while broader risk appetite improved.

Expected Ranges

  • GBP/USD: 1.3215 - 1.3285 ▲
  • GBP/EUR: 1.1325 - 1.1405 ▼
  • GBP/AUD: 2.0075 - 2.0165 ▼
  • EUR/USD: 1.1625 - 1.1695 ▲

Written by

See Wah Li

OFXpert

See Wah is passionate about supporting positive transformations when it comes to managing foreign exchange. As a Senior Currency Consultant at OFX, his goal is to help businesses make informed decisions, alleviate risks, and enhance their currency strategies for success. With over 6 years of experience in the foreign exchange market, See Wah’s strength lies in developing effective solutions to help navigate the complexities of currency fluctuations and mitigate their impacts on business profitability.