Home Daily Commentaries Period of weakness continues for the US Dollar

Period of weakness continues for the US Dollar

Daily Currency Update

The US dollar is experiencing a widespread decline, reaching a level not seen in over three months against its major counterparts. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, a prominent advocate for tighter monetary policies and a significant figure within the central bank, hinted at the possibility of a future interest rate reduction on Tuesday. This announcement fuelled market speculation that interest rates in the United States may have reached their highest point.

US rate futures indicated a 33% likelihood of a rate reduction in March, which subsequently increased to around a 65% probability in May. These probabilities were at 21% and approximately 50%, respectively, during the late hours of Monday.

Key Movers

ECB President Christine Lagarde recognized that although inflationary pressures in the Eurozone are alleviating, the obstacle of achieving strong wage growth poses a complication for policymakers in their endeavors to control rising prices.

Expected Ranges

  • GBP/USD: 1.2675 - 1.2745 ▲
  • GBP/EUR: 1.1525 - 1.1575 ▲
  • EUR/USD: 1.0965 - 1.1035 ▲