Home Daily Commentaries US Dollar Index regains some strength

US Dollar Index regains some strength

Tuesday 31 October, 2023

Daily Currency Update

With supporting data released today, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has jumped back up from yesterday to the 106.46 range. Among those data releases was the US Employment Cost Index quarter-over-quarter. This measures the price businesses and the government pay for civilian labor and is one of the leading indicators of consumer inflation. The employment cost index was higher than both previous levels and expectations at 1.1% versus 1%. The second data release was the Standard & Poor's (S&P)/Case-Shiller (CS) Composite-20 House Price Index (HPI) year-over-year which was higher than expected at 2.2% versus the anticipated 1.8%. This is one of the top indicators of the housing industry’s health and higher-than-expected levels helped to support the USD.

Key Movers

Europe’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) yearly Flash Estimate, which excludes food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco data, was released today in line with expectations. Meanwhile, Europe’s yearly CPI, which includes all goods, was lower than expected. This data shows that inflation looks to have decreased for certain sectors of the economy, however, this had little change on the EUR/USD rate so far today.

In Japanese news, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is concluding their two-day meeting today where officials discussed monetary policy. Currently, the USD is up against the JPY today by around 1.4%.

Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) month-over-month was slightly lower than expected at 0% versus the anticipated 0.1% increase. This data reflects a lag in GDP, showing no increases for the last two months. Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers noted yesterday that the economy is slowing, while inflation expectations and wages remain high. In oil news, crude prices increased today by around .56% to $82.77 a barrel. The CAD is still down against the USD by around .35%.

Expected Ranges

  • EUR/USD: 1.0593 - 1.0671 ▼
  • GBP/USD: 1.2137 - 1.2201 ▼
  • AUD/USD: 0.6333 - 0.6376 ▼
  • USD/CAD: 1.3809 - 1.3877 ▲