Home Daily Commentaries Aussie dollar continues to trade above 63 US cents

Aussie dollar continues to trade above 63 US cents

Daily Currency Update

The Australian dollar is slightly weaker this morning when valued against the Greenback. The Aussie dollar on Friday traded higher around the 64 US cent level after catching a broad-market risk appetite bid that sent the US Dollar (USD) lower across the FX market as risk appetite flipped risk-on to close out the trading week. However, the AUD/USD pair has faced an intense sell-off to near 63 US cents after the better-than-projected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. The market sentiment shifted into a bearish trajectory as the market mood has turned cautious as the expectations of one more interest-rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have accelerated. The AUD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.6351 at the time of writing.
Looking ahead this week in Australia and there are no scheduled releases on Monday. On Tuesday we will see the National Australia Bank (NAB) Business Confidence survey of about 350 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions. On Tuesday we will also see the release of the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment a survey of about 1,200 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, employment, and climate for major purchases. On Wednesday the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) Christopher Kent is due to speak at the Bloomberg Address, in Sydney. He's responsible for advising Reserve Bank Board members who decide where to set the nation's key interest rates, on matters relating to economics, and his public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future policy shifts.

Key Movers

On Friday in the United States (US) we saw upbeat US job growth in September. The US labor force witnessed 336K fresh payrolls, much higher than estimates of 170K and the former release of 227K. The jobless rate remains steady at 3.8%, nominally higher than expectations of 3.7%. The monthly wage rate grew by 0.2% but was lower than expectations of 0.3%. The annualized wage rate decelerated to 4.2% vs. the estimates and the former release of 4.3%. The 10-year US Treasury yield stands above 4.70%, close to the highest level since 2007.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) rallied for the third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the North American session began to wind down ahead of the weekend. Although September’s Nonfarm Payrolls report was positive, the GBP/USD recovered after reaching multi-month lows of 1.2037 and has risen more than 1.70% towards 1.2240s. On the UK front speculations about a stagnating economy have trimmed the odds for additional tightening by the Bank of England (BoE), even though its Governor, Andrew Bailey, commented that inflation at around 6.7% would continue to fall amidst rates staying at around 5.25%.

Expected Ranges

  • AUD/USD: 0.6250 - 0.6450 ▼
  • AUD/EUR: 0.5900 - 0.6100 ▼
  • GBP/AUD: 1.8975 - 1.9175 ▲
  • AUD/NZD: 1.0500 - 1.0700 ▼
  • AUD/CAD: 0.8550 - 0.8750 ▼