Daily Currency Update
The New Zealand dollar is slightly weaker this morning when valued against the Greenback currently trading at 0.5956 at time of writing. The NZD/USD pair softened during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The New Zealand Dollar edged lower against the US Dollar amid the escalating trade war tensions between the US and China. However, the downside for the pair might be limited as traders are concerned about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence under the Trump administration. Nonetheless, the concerns over the Fed's independence could drag the Greenback lower and cap the downside for the pair. US President Donald Trump repeated his criticism of Fed’s Powell, saying that the US economy could slow down unless interest rates are lowered immediately. Looking ahead today and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release the latest Credit Card Spending. It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money.
Key Movers
The US Dollar Index (DXY) struggled to extend its bounce on Tuesday, hovering near the 98.50 zone after recovering slightly from the three-year trough of 98.01. Trump’s criticism, calling Powell “a major loser” and threatening to remove him for not cutting rates ,has alarmed investors and dragged on the Greenback’s long-term credibility. Overnight the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.55 percent, dragging the index down nearly 18 percent from its position at the start of the year. US government bonds also fell as investors sold off the traditional safe-haven assets, with the yield on 10-year Treasury notes rising above 4.4 percent. Trump has repeatedly threatened to replace Powell, saying last week that his termination “cannot come fast enough”. On the data front yesterday The Richmond Federal Reserve's manufacturing index plummeted to -13 in April, down from March's -4 reading and far worse than analysts' estimates of -6. April's reading reflected the sharpest decline in factory activity since November 2024, with the shipments index falling to -17 from -7, the steepest decline in seven months, and new orders dropping from 5 to -17.Expectations on future shipments sank to -20, in sharp contrast to the prior month's reading of 7. Elsewhere, the backlog of orders sank to -24 from -1 as manufacturers depleted pending work to limit a sharper decline in shipments.
Expected Ranges
- NZD/USD: 0.5850 - 0.6050 ▲
- NZD/EUR: 0.5150 - 0.5350 ▲
- GBP/NZD: 2.2200 - 2.2400 ▼
- NZD/AUD: 1.0550 - 1.0750 ▲
- NZD/CAD: 0.8100 - 0.8300 ▼