Home Daily Commentaries Aussie dollar continues to trade below 63 US cents 

Aussie dollar continues to trade below 63 US cents 

Daily Currency Update

The Australian dollar is slightly weaker this morning when valued against the Greenback, currently trading at US$0.6299 at time of writing. The Australian Dollar (AUD) Index hovered near recent levels on Wednesday as market sentiment shifted in response to the latest inflation data. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.4% in February, a slight decline from 2.5% the previous month, remaining within the Reserve Bank's target range. Annual CPI inflation was slightly lower in February, after holding steady at 2.5% for the previous two months. The data was released just days before the RBA’s upcoming interest rate decision on April 1, which will be the first made under its newly implemented dual-board structure. The AUD could retest the US$0.6325 level; the major resistance at US$0.6355 is unlikely to come into view. In the longer run, AUD appears range-bound for now, likely between US$0.6240 and US$0.6355.

Key Movers

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of currencies, is holding near the US$104.30 zone during Wednesday’s session. A better-than-expected print in February’s Durable Goods Orders, coupled with hawkish rhetoric from Fed officials, is helping the USD to edge higher. However, momentum indicators remain conflicted, hinting at a still fragile upside. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell on Wednesday, backsliding back below the 42,500 level and snapping a recent winning run. Gold price flat-lined late in the North American session, capped by the recovery of the DXY. At the time of writing, XAU USD trades at $3,019, virtually unchanged.

Expected Ranges

  • AUD/USD: 6200 - 0.6400 ▲
  • AUD/EUR: 0.5750 - 0.5950 ▲
  • GBP/AUD: 2.0350 - 2.0550 ▼
  • AUD/NZD: 1.0900 - 1.1100 ▼
  • AUD/CAD: 0.8900 - 0.9100 ▲

Written by

Brett Ottawa

OFXpert

Brett brings a wealth of experience, boasting more than 15 years in the foreign exchange market. He started his foreign exchange career with OFX more than a decade ago, as a private dealer catering to individual clients. He later transitioned to the corporate sector, assuming the position of Corporate Senior Relationship Manager. What truly excites Brett is the opportunity to engage with people, supporting their business growth and sharing in their successes.