Home Daily Commentaries Canada posts widest trade surplus in 2021

Canada posts widest trade surplus in 2021

Daily Currency Update

CAD - Canadian Dollar

Demand for the Canadian dollar ticked up against its US counterpart amid waning concerns over the Omicron variant. USDCAD was down 0.69% at around 1.2666.

Data also showed that Canada posted its widest trade surplus so far in 2021. Canada’s trade surplus widened in October on the back of auto and energy exports, and was in line with economist expectations.

Key Movers

Mixed data from the monthly German ZEW Economic Sentiment survey added pressure to the euro on Tuesday. The number improved to 29.9 in December for Germany and to 26.8 for the EU, but the opinion of the current situation fell -7.4 vs. expectations of -5. The Eurozone’s powerhouse has been hit by a fourth wave of COVID-19 cases which led to fresh calls for restrictions to be reinstated. This is likely why we are due to see a fall from the previous month's reading. EURUSD was down 0.35% trading around 1.2467 at the time of writing.

The pound also struggled against the dollar but edged higher against the euro on Tuesday. The Health Secretary Sajid Javid told parliament yesterday that the Omicron variant is now spreading amongst the community in the UK and that the restrictions on travel will only slow the spread and not stop it. Some experts expect Omicron to be the dominant variant in the UK by early next year. Its ability to evade the current batch of vaccines is still unknown however none of the cases reported so far in the UK have required hospital treatment. GBPUSD was trading around 1.3227 while GBPEUR was sitting around 1.1762.

The Australian dollar rallied on Tuesday as the market mood improved over concerns from the new COVID-19 variant. AUDUSD was up 0.88% at around 0.71098.

Expected Ranges

  • EUR/CAD: 1.4215 - 1.4411 ▼
  • GBP/CAD: 1.6728 - 1.6937 ▼
  • AUD/CAD: 0.8983 - 0.9028 ▲
  • USD/CAD: 1.2638 - 1.278 ▼