ECB interest rate decision later today
Daily Currency Update
Sterling remains buoyant, bolstered by the UK's exemption from recent U.S. metal tariffs and investor optimism regarding the UK's economic outlook, with analysts anticipating a potential test of the 1.3600 resistance level in the coming days.The euro trades near $1.1430 against the US dollar, retreating from Tuesday's high of $1.1455. This pullback follows eurozone inflation data falling below the European Central Bank's 2% target, increasing expectations of a rate cut. Markets are now focused on the ECB's upcoming policy decision this lunchtime, with potential implications for the euro's trajectory.
The U.S. dollar index has stabilized around 99.13, recovering slightly from recent lows. However, ongoing trade tensions and concerns over economic indicators, such as the recent drop in factory orders, continue to weigh on the dollar. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases for further direction.
Key Movers
Data wise in the UK today, we have Construction PMI (May): Forecast at 47.4, up from April's 46.6, indicating a potential easing in the sector's contraction. We also have Bank of England's Breeden, speaking later offering insights into future monetary policy directions.Across the pond in the US, we have the data release of trade Balance (April): Which offers insights into the trade dynamics and potential impacts on GDP. We also have unemployment claims forecasted at 236K VS previous 240K at 1.30PM GMT.
Expected Ranges
- GBP/USD: 1.3420 - 1.3520 ▲
- GBP/EUR: 1.1835 - 1.1922 ▲
- GBP/AUD: 2.076 - 2.092 ▼
- EUR/USD: 1.1395 - 1.1490 ▼