Sterling falls on expectations of BoE cut
Daily Currency Update
The pound slipped against the euro on yesterday as firmer eurozone inflation strengthened expectations that the ECB has reached the end of its easing cycle, while markets increasingly anticipate a Bank of England rate cut in December.The shift in policy outlook between the two central banks widened rate-differential pressures, supporting the euro and weighing on sterling. Even a modest uptick in eurozone inflation to 2.2% was enough to reinforce the view that further ECB cuts are unlikely, giving the euro additional momentum against the pound.
Key Movers
The US dollar held steady this morning, but FX markets are already positioning for expected US rate cuts in 2026, a shift that is likely to put renewed downward pressure on the greenback.With investors gradually rotating out of the US dollar in anticipation of a softer policy path, major currency pairs saw modest adjustments, while broader risk appetite improved.
Expected Ranges
- GBP/USD: 1.3215 - 1.3285 ▲
- GBP/EUR: 1.1325 - 1.1405 ▼
- GBP/AUD: 2.0075 - 2.0165 ▼
- EUR/USD: 1.1625 - 1.1695 ▲