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USD retreats as geopolitical tensions rise.

Friday 22nd September
US Dollar

The main release from the US yesterday came in the form of Unemployment Claims which unexpectedly fell from 282K to 259K. This is the second consecutive release that has come in well below forecast and helped build support for the USD following the Fed announcement on Wednesday. Unfortunately for the USD this shift in sentiment was short lived as the greenback retreated off the back of geopolitical uncertainty. Tensions are increasing between the US and North Korea as Kim Jong-Un warns the US and their “deranged” President that they will pay for Donald Trump’s most recent threats. Following this statement, we have seen Asian Stocks rise and the USD retreat as markets take a risk-off approach to investment. Today will see only minor releases from the US as markets will be motivated by sentiment and global events. As a risk-off market continues to grow we could see the USD continue to fall into the close of the week, despite the hawkish rhetoric we have heard from the Fed this week. 

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Today's expected ranges

1.3550 - 1.3630
1.1280 - 1.1350
1.7020 - 1.7100
1.8520 - 1.8600

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Last Week Market Recap

Monday 18th September 2017

AUD/USD lost ground last week as both countries reported mixed economic numbers. The week began with the pair making its weekly high of 0.8057 on Monday in the absence of any significant numbers from either country. The rate declined another fraction on Tuesday after Australian NAB Business Confidence printed at 5 compared to a previous reading of 12. NAB chief economist Alan Oster said after the release that, “For those indicating deterioration in confidence, the biggest concerns appear to be customer demand, government policy, as well as cost pressures - both energy and wages.” The pair continued its slide on Wednesday despite lower than expected U.S. PPI data. On Thursday, the rate gained ground after making its weekly low of 0.7954 as Australian Employment Change showed +54.2K new jobs compared to an expectation of +17.5K, while the Australian Unemployment Rate held steady at 5.6%. The pair then consolidated at a slightly lower level on Friday despite lower than expected U.S. Retail Sales data. AUD/USD went on to close at 0.7998, with a loss of -0.7% for the week. 

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