Home Daily Commentaries New Zealand extended its gains for the fourth consecutive trading day

New Zealand extended its gains for the fourth consecutive trading day

Daily Currency Update

The New Zealand dollar has experienced a notable appreciation against the US dollar this week, extending its gains for the fourth consecutive trading day on Thursday. The NZDUSD pair reached its highest level of the week, approaching the US$0.6090 mark, driven by a combination of factors. A significant contributor to this rally was the weakening of the US dollar, influenced by concerns regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) independence following President Donald Trump's indication that he would soon announce a successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) cautious stance on monetary policy, with expectations of maintaining current interest rates, has supported the NZD's strength. As of Thursday, the NZDUSD pair was trading near US$0.6090, approaching year-to-date highs, and showing a weekly gain of over 1.5%.

Key Movers

The US dollar came under sharp selling pressure on Thursday, following President Donald Trump's renewed criticism of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Speaking after Mr Powell’s semi-annual testimony before the Senate on June 24–25, Trump condemned the Fed Chair's resistance to cutting interest rates in upcoming policy meetings. The political pressure and growing expectations of policy divergence triggered a steep decline in the greenback, pushing the US Dollar Index (DXY) down toward the 97.00 mark—its lowest level in over three years. Equity markets responded positively, with major US indexes closing near record highs. The S&P 500 advanced 0.8% to end the session at 6,141.02, just shy of its all-time high of 6,144.15 set in February. The Nasdaq Composite climbed over 1%, also finishing within striking distance of a record, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained around 400 points, or 0.9%. Nvidia (NVDA) rose another 1%, extending its record-breaking rally from the previous day. Markets increasingly interpret Trump’s criticism of Powell as a sign that early interest rate cuts are becoming more likely. These expectations have been further reinforced by continued signs of weakness in the US labour market, which many see as increasing pressure on the Fed to act sooner rather than later.

Expected Ranges

  • NZD/USD: 0.5950 - 0.6150 ▲
  • NZD/EUR: 0.5050 - 0.5250 ▲
  • GBP/NZD: 2.2500 - 2.2700 ▼
  • NZD/AUD: 1.0700 - 1.0900 ▼
  • NZD/CAD: 0.8150 - 0.8350 ▲

Written by

Brett Ottawa

OFXpert

Brett brings a wealth of experience, boasting more than 15 years in the foreign exchange market. He started his foreign exchange career with OFX more than a decade ago, as a private dealer catering to individual clients. He later transitioned to the corporate sector, assuming the position of Corporate Senior Relationship Manager. What truly excites Brett is the opportunity to engage with people, supporting their business growth and sharing in their successes.