Daily Currency Update
The pound could come under pressure if the Bank of England lowers its growth and inflation forecasts at Thursday’s meeting and drops its reference to a gradual pace of rate cuts. Given the BoE’s recent trend of aggressive forecast revisions, there's a real chance it could signal a shift this week. Scrapping the gradual language would open the door to faster, deeper rate cuts, removing one of the few remaining supports for the pound.
Key Movers
The US dollar weakened against major currencies, including the euro, as markets reacted to renewed uncertainty surrounding President Trump's economic policies. In a Sunday interview, Trump doubled down on his tariff-driven approach, claiming that import duties would ultimately make Americans richer. His announcement of a new 100% tariff on foreign-made films added to market concerns, fuelling volatility and weighing on the dollar as investors grew wary of the broader economic impact.
Expected Ranges
- GBP/USD: 1.3285 - 1.3385 ▲
- GBP/EUR: 1.1715 - 1.1785 ▼
- GBP/AUD: 2.0615 - 2.0695 ▲
- EUR/USD: 1.1295 - 1.1385 ▲