Daily Currency Update

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The Greenback is mixed amid better than expected retail sales in the U.S. and hopes of a no-deal Brexit in the U.K.

USD - United States Dollar

The EUR/USD pair has increased 0.05 percent, which infers a slight fall of the Greenback. The U.S. dollar is falling in spite of greater than expected increases in U.S. retail sales in August, pointing to robust consumer spending that should continue to support a moderate pace of economic growth. Retail sales came in at 0.4 percent versus the 0.2 percent expected. However, core retail sales came in at 0 percent, while the expectation was for 0.1 percent. According to the Commerce Department, retail sales were lifted by spending on motor vehicles, building materials, healthcare, and hobbies.

The U.S. dollar is benefiting almost as much as the Aussie dollar from the U.S.-China trade truce this week. Additionally, with the Interim China deal, Trump administration officials have discussed offering a limited trade agreement to China that would delay and even roll back some U.S. tariffs in exchange for Chinese commitments on intellectual property and agricultural purchases, according to Bloomberg. Furthermore, China added U.S. soybeans and pork to its list of goods exempted from new tariffs. Talks with Washington are planned in the coming weeks.

The Fed is expected to cut interest rates again next Wednesday, following the ECB’s decision yesterday, where they cut interest rates further below zero and restarted quantitative easing.

Key Movers

In the U.K. with Brexit 48 days away, the British Pound has hit its highest level against the U.S. dollar since July amid hopes that a no-deal Brexit can be avoided.

In the ECB’s decision yesterday, there was opposition from ECB governors representing Germany, France, Austria, Estonia, and the Netherlands. However the deposit rate was reduced further to minus 0.5 percent from minus 0.4 percent, and the ECB said it would buy debt from Nov. 1 at a pace of 20 billion euros a month for as long as necessary to hit its inflation target. However, many market participants have mentioned that lower rates and QE are unlikely to have much effect on the Eurozone economy and that Draghi knows that the lack of action would be worse.

U.S. equity futures along with global stocks increased. We are headed for another weekly gain, thanks to easing trade fears and a new round of central bank stimulus.

Expected Ranges

USD/CAD: 1.3215 - 1.3291 ▲

EUR/USD: 1.1054 - 1.1111 ▲

GBP/USD: 1.2372 - 1.2505 ▲

AUD/USD: 0.6861 - 0.6905 ▲

NZD/USD: 0.6358 - 0.6411 ▼